Uranium Price Sensitivity

The following table is not a forecast of prices we expect to receive. The prices we actually realize will be different from the prices shown in the table.

It is designed to indicate how the portfolio of fully-executed, long-term contracts we had in place on March 31, 2024 would respond to various spot prices at March 31, 2024. In other words, we would realize these prices only if the contract portfolio remained the same as it was on March 31, 2024 and none of the assumptions we list below change.

We intend to update this table each quarter in our MD&A to reflect deliveries made and changes to our contract portfolio. As a result, we expect the table to change from quarter to quarter.

Expected realized uranium price sensitivity under various spot price assumptions at March 31, 2024

(rounded to the nearest $1.00)

Spot prices ($US/lb U3O8) $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 $140
2024 44 48 53 56 58 58 59
2025 39 44 54 61 64 65 65
2026 41 44 56 66 69 70 71
2027 42 45 57 68 72 73 75
2028 45 47 58 69 73 74 76

As of March 31, 2024, we had commitments requiring delivery of an average of about 28 million pounds per year from 2024 through 2028, with commitment levels in 2024 and 2025 higher than the average and in 2026 through 2028 lower than the average. As the market improves, we expect to continue to layer in volumes capturing greater upside using market-related pricing mechanisms.

Assumptions

Our portfolio is affected by more than just the spot price. We made the following assumptions (which are not forecasts) to create the table:

Prices
  • The uranium price remains fixed at a given spot level for each annual period shown
Deliveries
  • Deliveries based on commitments under finalized contracts include best estimates of the expected deliveries and flexibility under contract terms
Annual inflation
  • To reflect escalation mechanisms contained in existing contracts, the long-term US inflation rate of 2% is used, for modeling purposes only

Caution about Forward-Looking Information

Please click here for additional information about the assumptions applied in making the forward-looking statements on this page and the factors that could cause results to differ materially.